Is the Centrica share price too cheap to ignore?

The Centrica share price is down more than 80% over five years. Here’s why I think it’s turning into a tempting long-term buy.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Centrica (LSE: CNA) has been in trouble with shareholders for some time, with its shares falling 84% over the past five years. The Covid-19 crash has piled on the problems too, and the Centrica share price has lost 52% so far in 2020 alone. Things could have been worse though, and the price is actually up around 45% since the year’s low in April.

Job losses

Last week, the British Gas owner announced plans  to shed 5,000 jobs from its global workforce of 27,000. That includes cutting Centrica’s senior leadership team of 40 by half, as part of new boss Chris O’Shea’s restructuring plans. It seems like an unfortunate but necessary step on the path to long-term recovery to me. The City seems to have seen it that way too, as the Centrica share price has put on 8% since that news.

Centrica has seen its earnings declining over the past few years, in part due to competition and the loss of British Gas customers.  The energy price cap and falling gas prices made things even worse, leading to a hefty loss in 2019. The firm slashed its dividend too, from 12p per share in 2018, to just 1.5p.

Centrica share price

To me, preserving the dividend at 12p throughout the earnings slump was a sign of poor management. It’s something that might keep shareholders happy in the short term, but sadly the short term often seems to be the only thing some company managers are interested in.

If it was a “keep paying and hope things get better” strategy, then it was doomed to failure. Shareholders might have kept on pocketing their annual income for a while, but they suffered a catastrophic fall in the Centrica share price at the same time.

The arrival of a new boss can be a good time for renewal at a company. There can be less reluctance to face up to its previous failures (because they were the old management’s fault, right?) O’Shea took over the top job only in April, having previously been Centrica’s finance director. That gives me hope, as he’s been very much at the sharp end of Centrica’s profit and balance sheet catastrophe. Focusing on the firm’s liquidity is, for me, the best thing he can do for the long-term future of the Centrica share price.

Restructuring

The job losses are being combined with a simplification of a number of the firm’s practices. I see it as a clearly-needed restructuring. But there’s one other thing Centrica needs to fix — customer service. If the new boss can improve that, I think we really could be at the beginning of a steady Centrica share price recovery.

My overall feeling is that Centrica has been at rock bottom this year. And I’m hoping the pummelling the market has suffered from the Covid-19 downturn will provide a wake-up call across the economy.

The lesson is that long-term attention to the balance sheet should be at the core of any business. I think that lesson has been learned here. And, to me, the low Centrica share price indicates a long-term buy.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Alan Oscroft has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

Here’s why I’m staying well clear of Rivian stock

Electric vehicles have excited investors for years now, but can be hit or miss. Here's why Gordon Best will be…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

A 6%+ yield but down 24%! Time for me to buy more of this hidden FTSE 250 gem?

After a rapid share price fall, this FTSE 250 stock's dividend yield has risen, leaving me wondering whether I should…

Read more »

View of Lake District. English countryside with fields in the foreground and a lake and hills behind.
Investing Articles

The United Utilities share price is recovering after mixed earnings report and sewage spill

Is a mild increase in revenue and slightly boosted dividend enough to save the United Utilities share price in light…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

Here’s why the Legal & General share price looks super attractive to me

Jon Smith flags up an important characteristic about the Legal & General share price that makes it appealing to him…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

To aim for £1,000 a month in passive income, should I buy growth shares or value shares?

Deciding which shares are the best to invest in is important when considering long-term passive income. However, there are several…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Investing Articles

Here’s why I think AMD stock should be higher

The semiconductor sector has been on a tear lately, but here's why Gordon Best thinks AMD stock still has plenty…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s what investors need to know about the latest Warren Buffett stock

The mystery stock Warren Buffett has been buying has been disclosed to be Chubb – an above-average business at a…

Read more »

Smiling young man sitting in cafe and checking messages, with his laptop in front of him.
Investing Articles

The Sage share price slides on half-year results: is it time to buy?

Sage’s share price has slipped on an uncertain outlook. But the company’s results suggest it’s still making good progress, says…

Read more »